Joanna Chadwick: Figuring out what’s real so far
Each week I predict the winners and losers of Wichita-area high school football games. Each week I look through a team’s schedule, judge how well it’s done, and consider its opponent.
Through the first two weeks, I was a respectable 44-16 (73.3 percent).
Then came Friday, when I was so far off — 17 of 29. Yikes!
So many games seemed like safe picks.
Heights was not only traveling to Dodge City, the same team that had handled Northwest the week before, but was going without its starting quarterback (and leading rusher). Picked Dodge City and lost.
Mulvane-Buhler was one of those that could have gone either way. Even Mulvane quarterback Ty Redington, who threw for 422 yards on 29-of-39 passing in the win, agreed that it was the kind of game that was too close to call.
Same with Salina South at Blue Valley. And Kansas City (Mo.) Rockhurst at Hutchinson. Well, actually, I rarely will pick against Hutchinson.
Even though the Salthawks have a blemish on their record, they are still the best team in 6A, which is why they stay atop the 6A rankings. Bishop Carroll leaps Hutchinson and Olathe South in the overall rankings, though.
Much of what happened Friday makes you wonder what’s real so far this season.
Take Andover and Eisenhower. Andover lost 16-0 to Arkansas City on Sept. 7, while Eisenhower lost to Maize South 41-0. The way I figured it, losing to Maize South is much more respectable than losing to Ark City.
Yet Andover beat Eisenhower.
That same sort of theory held true when I picked Andover Central to beat Goddard. While Andover Central was shellacked by Derby 48-0 on Sept. 7, I still gave the Jaguars the edge over Goddard, which had beaten Wellington and Valley Center. That one turned out right.
As for picking Wellington over Augusta, well, that was kind of a 50-50 thing. And Augusta was on a 12-game losing streak.
I picked Southeast to beat West because I gave the Buffaloes the credit for beating Kapaun, a team I considered better than South, which was West’s lone win.
Yet it didn’t play out that way.
Oh well. There’s always next week.